Civil Beat Poll – Lingle Trails Both Democratic US Senate Candidates

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It’s a long way til November.

But both Democratic candidates for the U.S. Senate have the edge over former Gov. Linda Lingle, according to the latest Civil Beat Poll.

Former Congressman Ed Case appears to be running stronger against the Republican Lingle than sitting Congresswoman Mazie Hirono, the poll found.

The automated telephone survey of 1,358 likely voters found Case has a 13 percentage point margin over Lingle, 46 percent to 33 percent. Hirono has a 7 percentage point margin, 46 percent to 39 percent. In each case, roughly 20 percent of likely voters said they were either undecided or would pick another candidate.

The poll was conducted on January 18 and 19, and has a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent.

Case and Hirono, both lawyers, are facing off in the Aug. 11 Democratic primary. Neither has won a statewide race at the top of a ticket before, and Hirono has already been defeated once by Lingle, in the 2002 governor’s race.

In a traditionally Democratic state, the presence of the two-term Republican governor in the contest has put the seat into play and thrust Hawaii’s contest onto the national stage. Control of the Senate is at stake and Hawaii is one of the states where Republicans could make gains. Lingle announced later than her potential opponents, but last week exhibited the strength of her candidacy when she released fundraising figures showing she has already dramatically surpassed their totals. That news came after the poll was taken.

The most recent previous independent poll of this race came just days after Lingle entered the fray in October. Public Policy Polling found Hirono besting Lingle, 48 percent to 42 percent, and Lingle essentially tied with Case, with the Republican at 45 percent and the Democrat at 43 percent. The margin of error was +/- 4.1 percent. Since then, Case has had

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One Response to Civil Beat Poll – Lingle Trails Both Democratic US Senate Candidates

  1. Art Reyes For US SENATE 2012 Reply

    February 13, 2012 at 5:38 am

    It appears that your margin of error and the poll that was undertaken was mis leading and had misled the public.

    Art Reyes would win this race big time.

    Hawaii could not afford to have inefficient no more.

    REYES will provide the much neede leadership into efficiency, effectiveness and is our Chum, Our Champ! Our type of a kind and the one that is the best candidate for the best interest of Hawaii and America in general.

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